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FREE PICK for Tuesday April 28th 2009

Posted by Samurai

Game : Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets (NBA) 10:05pm EST

Prediction : UNDER 182

Analysis : The last two games in this series have gone UNDER the total, but those games were in Houston. Tonight, the scene switches back to Portland, where the first two games of this series went OVER the total. In Game 4, the teams combined to shoot just 42.4% from the floor — the lowest percentage of the series — and they still managed 177 points. In Games 1 and 2 in Portland, the teams combined to shoot 49.8% from the floor. The Over is 4-1 in the Rockets’ last 5 playoff games as an underdog. The Over is also 6-1 in the Trail Blazers’ last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. From a series perspective, the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

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