FREE PICK for Thursday December 18th 2008
Posted by Samurai
Game : Evansville Aces at North Carolina Tarheels (NCAAB) 07:00pm EST
Prediction : North Carolina Tarheels -30
Analysis : The Tar Heels are favored by a lot of points tonight, and I don’t feel real great about laying that large of a number but they do hold the value. North Carolina is 14-2 ATS against teams shooting better than 45% while holding opponents to under 42% the last two years and they are 13-1 ATS versus good defensive teams – allowing 64 points/game over the last 2 seasons. Evansville is 0-8 ATS in road games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997 while North Carolina is 6-0 ATS in home games off a home win scoring 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
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